We go again.
LAS VEGAS — Here it is. Big game weekend fixtures are fair game as Friday through Sunday Premier League action is upon us and Matchweek 25 is all systems go. From the betting perspective, MW24 saw a proper return with a 3-0 ledger including satisfaction of the *Best Bet by Darkseid Sports*. The Feature Play getting back in the win column after a glacial stretch has me pleased and humbled.
Anywho, moving on, I’m bullish on my chances again. Here is the deal for MW25:
THE TIMELINE
COINCIDENTAL STADIUM of the WEEK
A series depicting a stadium which corresponds to a play featured in The Premier League Prologue actions to open the show.
- Amex Stadium, Brighton & Hove, East Sussex, England.
MW25 POSITIONS PL
*Best Bet by Darkseid Sports* RECORD: 9-12-3 (Record displayed in Win-Loss-Push format)
2025-26 PUBLISHED BET RECORD: 36-37-3 (All plays, W-L-P format).
- Straight Bets (Sides, Totals, BTTS): 35-27-3
- Parlays: 0-6
- Proposition (SoT, ATG, Team Props, etc.): 1-4
These results are unacceptable, embarrassing and so far beneath established standards. I hate it. I couldn’t even bring myself to list the percentages. The last month with the Feature Play really hurt my feelings. Obviously, the time is now to stack on success and go on a run.
— ⚽️: “THE BTTS SPECIAL”
- ARSSUN BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE (+60)
📚: BetMGM
KEY METRICS
- ARSSUN: competed to a 2-2 draw in league play on 11.8.25.
BTTS SUPERFACT
KEY OPINION
This is a play on the fact the data and my interpretation of the situation say both parties will score a goal in this match. Arsenal has the best defense going but it won’t keep clean sheets every match. It can’t. Here is a spot for the Black Cats to get on the scoresheet with the Gunners coming off midweek League Cup play.
MY TAKE
The BTTS Special has seen mixed results thus far but I’m undeterred in the pursuit of delivering winners. Not sure what I’m supposed to say really re: my take on The BTTS Special: I think both parties can score a goal in its respective match. However. I acknowledge it’s a “Super Ask” here.
— ⚽️: TEAM PROP: MAN CITY OVER 1.5 GOALS (+14)
📚: FanDuel
KEY METRICS:
- MCI: 1/20 in Goals Scored (49).
KEY OPINION
- I just think there is value in backing MCI to score 2+ goals. We get decent value compared to the true math. I trust City more than Liverpool to-date. Obviously we have a capable offense to get the job done.
GL🤝Play Responsibly
— ⚽️BB: BHACRY UNDER 2.5 GOALS (EV)
📚: Circa Sports, FanDuel
KEY METRICS
- BHA: 1.37 GLS/90, +2 Goal Differential YTD in league play.
- CRY: 25 Goals Scored in 24 league matches.
BEST BET SUPERFACT
KEY OPINION
- I see this as a spot where goals should be hard to come by and the BHACRY match in total is a snooze to open Super Sunday.
MY TAKE
For the *Best Bet by Darkseid Sports* for MW25, it’s a play on Brighton & Hove Albion – Crystal Palace to stay Under 2.5 Match Goals at Even money. Very simply, both teams have had scoring issues and both teams haven’t looked their best in some time. I don’t know how this translates to an Over. For that, (BHACRY UND 2.5 EV) is your *Best Bet by Darkseid Sports* for the Premier League Matchweek 24.
FC Record YTD: 12-9
— ⚽️: MCI DRAW NO BET
I passed on this to focus on other positions. There was reservation due to the fact I liked the Over 1.5 goal prop better even though the DNB is a stronger mathematical play.
MANCHESTER UNITED MINUTES
PREMIER LEAGUE MINUTES (MW25)
BEYOND THE TABLE
You can get the Premier League Table anywhere. It matters at MW25, obviously. But a Table built on xG is something we can use for Sports Investment purposes over the course of the competition in the now and Squawka has done solid, practical work in bringing us this PL Table built on xG.
https://www.squawka.com/en/features/xg-table-premier-league-2025-26/
FUTURISTICS REVISITED
It’s tostadas at MW23. Cole Palmer would have to go on a major run to close the term which seems unlikely. Amad creates and has been fine for United but the AFCON absence was detrimental. He’s back going good but it’s too much of an ask. Brentford has vastly exceeded any expectation anybody had. I had it wrong.
BIG GAME POSITIONS (NFL)
📚: BetMGM, William Hill/Caesars
2TM 7PT SGT
PATRIOTS +11.5 — SEA/NE UNDER 52.5 POINTS
The Sunday Blockbuster is an annual same-game teaser I play every Big Game Sunday. I am +EV lifetime on these. No, it’s a not a great bet per the math. Yes, there are better value plays. But it’s about tradition and nostalgia here and I kinda like my chances to cash this ticket on this Super Sunday.
OTHER BIG GAME POSITIONS
(📚: Multi)
- Sam Darnold (SEA) YES INT (-25)
- Sam Darnold LONGEST COMPLETION UNDER 35.5 YARDS (-10)
- Christian Gonzalez (NE) YES INT (+650)
- Patriots +4.5 (EV)
I don’t think there is any doubt over the course of the season Seattle was better than New England. It’s pretty safe to say in total the Seahawks are the better team. But this is a one-game scenario. This is Super Sunday where literally anything can and will happen. Very few are giving New England a chance. This team has been underrated all year.
I’ve seen this movie before. This reeks of the preview to the Broncos – Packers Super Bowl way back when where it was de facto coronation for Green Bay, pregame. Denver had other ideas once the ball kicked off. I remember Bill Romanowski yelling into the camera postgame talking about how sick he was of telling Green Bay how good they were. I’m kinda expecting the same here from like Mike Vrabel or a Patriots player.
I’ve heard some 70% of the handle in total is on Seattle. I don’t know if that’s true but I do know it’s never that easy. Good luck, play responsibly and enjoy the game! -T
RANDOM PROLOGUE PICTURE
A proper view of Levi’s Stadium ahead of the Big Game.
REFERENCES:
- X
- Various individual and entity social media accounts on X as cited in this work
- Peacock
- USA Network
- NBC Sports
- FB Ref
- Opta Analyst
- DataMB
- Transfermarkt
- Squawka
- Sports Mole UK
- Grok
- NBC Sports Soccer
- CBS Sports App
- FanDuel
- BetMGM
- Circa Sports
- Getty Images
- Darkseid Sports Intellectual Properties
DISCLAIMER: The purveyor of Darkseid Sports (me) and the author of this writing (also me) has no affiliation, whatsoever, with Manchester United, the Premier League, any of the above athletes, managers, media entities, sports betting entities, social media accounts and/or any other corporate entity, either portrayed in written form or depicted in corresponding images. The author of this writing is a passionate and very serious Manchester United and Premier League fan.
INDUSTRY NOTE: I put considerable time and effort into this. Being the best is a process. Don’t plagiarize me, please. It’s already bad enough I’m totally excluded in the space yet have to be subjected to absolute hacks who get the run I don’t. As of this writing I have not seen any person or entity share the plays I have. So that makes me the source material. Any sharing or touting of my plays should include credit to Darkseid Sports. It’s easy. Failure to do so is an explicit proclamation of a gross lack of professional integrity on your part. I am also available to appear on your platform either via phone interview or in digitally written segment to feature my thoughts and selections, FYI.
Sports is sensationally prohibited.
Darkseid Sports 
Leave a comment