We go again.
COINCIDENTAL STADIUM of the WEEK
A new series depicting a stadium which corresponds to a play featured in The 7 Best and/or its auxiliary actions to open the show.
- Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA
LAS VEGAS —Here it is. The 7 Best is back and I’m fired up to get down to business here. I’m not going to sugarcoat it: last week was an absolute disaster with a 1-6 ledger and mixed with the poor results in the other portfolio I’m active in (EPL) this time of year, it was some of the worst business Darkseid Sports has ever done. An all-timer, if you will. I’m demanding a rebound here.
Right then, here are my T7 ATS/Total positions for this weekend in College Football and in the National Football League.
No excuses. I’m out for blood now. I have to be better. Have to.
The 7 Best Record: 10-18-0 (10.5).
Top Choice Record: 1-3
Scoring: 1 point per win, half-point per push, 1.5 points per Top Choice win
— AIR FORCE/NAVY OVER 51.5 Points
KEY METRICS
- AFA: 4-0 O/U to-date. AFA ranks 27th nationally in PPG (37.8), 20th in YPG (470.5) & 17th in YPP (7.1). The Falcons defense ranks 131st in PPG/A (38.8), 127th in YPG/A (466.5) & 135th in YPP/A (7.3).
- NAVY: 3-1 O/U to-date. 25th nationally in PPG (38.2), 15th in YPG (483.8) & 10th in YPP (7.4).
- My xAAPT: 55
MY TAKE
It’s a play going over the total when the Air Force Falcons visit the Navy Midshipman Saturday afternoon at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, MD. I’ll be brief: I think defense will be optional here. Both offenses are potent. The Air Force defense is terrible. I’m not feeling many defensive stops. It’s the over for me, say, to 54 and we’ll say no more.
— BOSTON COLLEGE (+7) at Pittsburgh
KEY METRICS
- BC: 28th nationally in PPG (37.5), 35th in YPG (444.0) & 36th in YPP (6.5).
- PITT:129th nationally in Defensive Penalties (8.8) & 103rd in Offensive Penalties (7.2). The Panthers OL ranks 108th nationally in Sacks Allowed (2.5 per game).
MY TAKE
It’s a play on the visiting Boston College Eagles when it plays the Pittsburgh Panthers Saturday afternoon at Acrisure Stadium. A bit too many points me thinks. Get to know BC a bit. This team is sub-T50 on both sides of the ball in points/yardage gained and surrendered. PITT is not a clean football team by any means. Way too many penalties…check the Key Metrics. So it’s a play on BC to +6 but I prefer you nab the +6.5 in the absence of +7.
— WASHINGTON/MARYLAND UNDER 53.5 Points
KEY METRICS
- UW: 24th nationally YPG/A (286.0) & 33rd YPP/A (4.8).
- MD:7th nationally PPG/A (10.8), 3rd in Sacks (4.0 per), 31st YPG/A (300.5) & 11th YPP/A (4.1). The Terps rank 15th in Def. Pen. (4.2).
- My xAPPT: 52
MY TAKE
It’s a play going under the total when the Washington Huskies play the Maryland Terrapins Saturday afternoon at SECU Stadium in College Park. Very simply, these are two good defenses playing each other here. I’m expecting a classic, physical B1G game from not-classic B1G schools. Play to 53 and we’ll see.
— MIAMI (FL) -4 at FSU
KEY METRICS
- N/A
MY TAKE
No key metrics. No takes.
The Miami Hurricanes will do the talking for me Saturday night up in Tally. Full trust.
Play to -5.5.
— Broncos at EAGLES (-3.5)
KEY METRICS
- PHI: 4Q M/L conversion in 13 L21 (this team performs late). The Philadelphia defense is best-in-league in Def. Pen. (4.8) & and 1st in CMP%/A.
- DEN: ranks 28th in the NFL in Def. PEN. (9.5) & 27th in Pen. Yds (72.2).
MY TAKE
It’s a play on the home Philadelphia Eagles laying three-and-a-half points when it hosts the Denver Broncos Sunday afternoon at Lincoln Financial Field. Hey look, Denver is a quality team — very easily could be undefeated— but as I’ve stated in previous editions of The 7 Best, I’m just not into challenging the Eagles right now. Of course the Broncos traveling from the mountains east to play early factors a bit. But with a manageable number, I’ll play the Eagles again until proven otherwise. Anything under -4 and I’m in.
— COWBOYS (-1.5) at Jets
KEY METRICS
- DAL: 4Q M/L conversion in 4 L8 away games (33% ROI). The Cowboys rank 5th in the NFL in Scoring Offense (28.5 per), 2nd in Total Offense (404.2 per) & 6th in YPP (6.1).
- NYJ: Jets defense ranks 30th in Scoring Defense (30.0 per) & 32nd in Turnovers.
MY TAKE
It’s a play on the visiting Dallas Cowboys laying a point-and-a-half when it combats the New York Jets Sunday afternoon at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ. Hard to call this a home game truly for NYJ. The Cowboys come here anyway to play the Giants and I have a feeling there will be as many Dallas fans there as there will be Jets fans. The Cowboys are simply the better team. The Jets defense is terrible. Anything under a FG with Dallas and I’m in.
TOP CHOICE
— Giants at SAINTS (-1.5)
KEY METRICS
- NYG: Giants rank 32nd in the NFL in Defensive Penalties (11.5) & 29th in YPG/A (388.5).
- NO: Saints defense ranks 7th in the NFL in Sacks (2.8 per), 13th in YPC/A (4.0) & 18th in YPG/A (324.0).
MY TAKE
It’s a play in the home New Orleans Saints when it battles the New York Giants Sunday afternoon at the Caesars Superdome. Let cut the BS and go there: this is a really weird play, certainly for Top Choice status. But I stand by it. I say no Malik Nabers, big problem. The Giants are this bad, aren’t they? New Orleans has played hard. I’ll lay anything under -2.5. I’ll just say this, if the Giants lose this game what on Earth is the point of keeping the HC around? If that’s not a sign to move on what is? It’s a play on the Saints for me as the Top Choice pursuant to The 7 Best v5.0.
— BUCCANEERS (+3.5) at Seahawks
I passed on Tampa in favor of Dallas.
CFB/NFL TV MAPS
SURVIVOR RECC
I am in several low-profile survivor contests. I will release a single, consensus survivor contest selection until all my entires are toast. Last week was a successful survivor entry week with the Denver Broncos surviving in clean, professional order.
Darkseid Sports is back for its Survivor Week Five Position now…
CREATOR’S NOTE: Two weeks ago, I disclosed the fact I am a contestant in the Covers $10K Pro Football Survivor Contest. Originally, I played my contest ethos off here as being in low-profile contests, which is true. But the Covers contest is not low-profile. It’s a big contest which deserves full rate and coverage.
AUXILIARIES
*The following NFL teasers were played at various points throughout the week when at my point of numeric satisfaction. Teasers are 5-2 this term.*
TWO TSR MKT, TOTW-worthy teasers this week…
*3TM 7PT TSR*
CARDINALS -.5
BILLS -1.5
GIANTS +8.5 (let’s middle the Top Choice)
*3TM 7PT TSR*
RAIDERS +14
JAGUARS +10.5
LIONS -3.5
FUTURISTICS REVISITED
- NFL Season Win Totals
— ARIZONA CARDINALS OVER 8.5 WINS (-25)
📚: FanDuel
— LAS VEGAS RAIDERS OVER 6.5 WINS (-40)
📚: FanDuel
*NFC Championship*
— GREEN BAY PACKERS (9.5, 7:1)
UPDATE: Bad loss in Cleveland two weeks ago. The tie in Dallas last week was really weird. Nothing is over. Nothing is settled. But the Bye came at a good time. This team needs to refocus and reprioritize and get back to playing team, complimentary football.
REFERENCES
- X
- Various individual and entity social media accounts on X as cited in usage of this work
- Grok
- Google Gemini
- Pro Football Reference
- CFB Reference
- Team Rankings
- Covers
- NFL+
- NFL Pro
- Riddell Sports
- Schutt Sports
- 506 Sports
- Circa Sports
- FanDuel Sports
- STN Sports
- Oddschecker US
- Getty Images
- Darkseid Sports Intellectual Properties
CREATOR’S NOTE: This week’s 7 Best used odds from Circa Sports on the day of publish (today) and via FanDuel. The whole premise behind this arduous challenge is to play with Friday numbers. In the opinion of this author, Circa Sports serves as the premier destination in the brick-and-mortar Sportsbook genre in American Gaming and is a certain travel destination for tourists who visit the great city of Las Vegas. FanDuel has a sensational overall betting menu and is at the top echelon of soccer betting in the American market. I have no current association with either entity.
This competition was built to mirror the CFFI contest. Recently, I caught the host the program use BS lines for the Miami – Florida game. And sadly it’s not the first or second time the network— known for plagiarism and cooking books for its talent — have done something like this before. Therefore, my focus is on Friday numbers, regardless of book. Unlike others in the EPL space, I will only share numbers and bets which are widely available to you. If they won’t be professional enough to stick to the 10 a.m./Friday jive, why should I?
DISCLAIMER: Darkseid Sports has no affiliation, whatsoever, with the NCAA and/or any of the programs, athletes, social media accounts, sports betting entities, universities, football programs or corporate entities digitally written about or depicted in corresponding images. The author of this writing is an ardent and serious College Football and Miami Hurricanes fan since the Jimmy Johnson regime.
DISCLAIMER: Darkseid Sports has no affiliation, whatsoever, with the National Football League, the Green Bay Packers, its players, social media presences, sports betting entities and/or corporate entities associated with the team(s) either in written form or depicted in corresponding images. There is no association with any other person, social media account, media entity, corporate entity, etc. The author of this writing is a third-generation Packers fan, a former credentialed-media member covering the franchise, an amateur historian focused on the franchise and is +EV career betting the franchise lifetime. He is a passionate and very serious Packers and National Football League fan. His next game at Lambeau Field will be his 56th.
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