We go again.

Follow me on X at @TylersTake_
The Premeir League is the Best League in the World and the Best League There Is. Other leagues simply don’t measure up.

LAS VEGAS — Here it is, with good tidings and Holiday cheer. The Festive Fixtures are here. Saturday through Monday Premier League action is upon us and Matchweek 17 is all systems go. Saturday’s EPL card is an absolute blockbuster. From the betting perspective, MW16 saw a continuation of standards with a 2-1 ledger including satisfaction of the *Best Bet by Darkseid Sports*.

Anywho, moving on, I’m bullish on my chances at the weekend. Here is the deal for MW16:

THE TIMELINE

Festive Fixtures are here. Follow NBC/Sports Soccer on X for TV/Streaming details and more.
Speaking of The Timeline, when was your club founded?

COINCEDENTAL STADIUM of the WEEK

A series depicting a stadium which corresponds to a play featured in The Premier League Prologue actions to open the show.

  • Villa Park, Birmingham, England.
Another look inside, corner pitch, the empty home of Aston Villa.

MW17 POSITIONS PL

*Best Bet by Darkseid Sports* RECORD: 7-7-2 (Record displayed in Win-Loss-Push format)

2025-26 PUBLISHED BET RECORD: 24-23-2 (All plays, W-L-P format).

  • Straight Bets: 24-16-2
  • Parlays: 0-6 (?!?)
  • Proposition (SoT, ATG, etc.): 0-1

These results are unacceptable, embarrassing and so far beneath established standards. I hate it. I couldn’t even bring myself to list the percentages. Obviously, the time is now to go on a run and stack on the success from MW14-16.

My Plays for MW17

— ⚽️: “THE BTTS SPECIAL”

  • WOLBRE BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE (-25)

📚: William Hill/Caesars

KEY METRICS

  • WOLBRE: 60 G/A aggregate amongst both clubs.

KEY OPINION

This is a play on the fact the data and mathematics say both parties will allow a goal in this match. I also believe when bad teams get together weird things happen.

MY TAKE

The BTTS Special has seen mixed results thus far but I’m undeterred in the pursuit of delivering winners. Not sure what I’m supposed to say really re: my take on The BTTS Special: I think both parties can score a goal in its respective match.

We are going to hit these as the term progresses. I won’t be denied, except for all the parlays and the MW16 result in this market.

— ⚽️: TOTLIV OVER 2.5 GOALS (-50)

📚: Multi

Spurs on X

KEY METRICS:

  • TOT: T5/20 in Goals Scored (25) &T5/20 in GLS/90 (1.50).
  • LIV: 4/20 in Goals Scored (26). LFC is 2/20 in Progressive Carries (369) & 1/20 in Progressive Passes (812). The Reds are 16/20 in GK/SV% (63.9).
Follow DataMB on X

SUPERFACT

I teamed with Grok to bring you a TOTLIV SuperFact and we find this has been a potent scoring fixture, historically.

KEY OPINION

  • I just think there is value in backing the over here at any number under 3 with a price under -160. I also think Arne Slot will want his Reds to deliver a performance in the absence of the great, albeit embattled Mo Salah.
LFC on X

— ⚽️: AVL RACE TO TWO (2) GOALS (+15)

📚: William Hill/Caesars

The Race to Two Goals price pays better than the AVL 90+ price. If you think Villa can/will score more than a goal and can win then maybe this is the market for you.
AVFC on X

KEY METRICS

  • AVL: T7/20 in GS (24). Villa is T5/20 in GA (17) & GA/90 (1.06).
  • MUN: T15/20 in Goals Allowed (25), GLS/90 (1.50) & npxG/90-A (1.31).

SUPERFACT

If Man Utd is good to allow a goal, why wouldn’t it allow two goals too, first, against a better opponent on its home pitch?

KEY OPINION

  • For me, I just can’t get past the AFCON defections (Mbeumo, Amad), the injuries to the United backline and the timing of the Bruno Fernandes controversy for me to back the Red Devils here. Plus, bluntly, Villa is the better side right now and is in better form. It might even have the better manager, too.
It’s time for the *Best Bet by Darkseid Sports* for MW17.
GL🤝Play Responsibly

— ⚽️BB: MASON MOUNT 1+ SHOTS ON TARGET (-10)

📚: William Hill/Caesars

I’ve always said when fit and on his day Mason Mount is one of the top all around players in the entire competition. He does everything, at minimum, on a Premier League level. There is no glaring weakness to his on-pitch game. His weaknesses are less-glaring than others, which is a compliment. Every manager who has this guy on his squad picks him to play.

KEY METRICS

  • Mount: Three goals L8 PL matches 1+ SoT in three of last four PL matches.
Mason Mount seasonal to-date data via Real Sports.

SUPERFACT

KEY OPINION

  • I see this as a spot where Mason Mount can have influence in this match on behalf of Manchester United.
The team is better when Mount is better.

MY TAKE

For the *Best Bet by Darkseid Sports* for MW17, it’s a play on Mason Mount (Manchester United) having 1+ Shots on Target when Man Utd plays Aston Villa Sunday afternoon at Villa Park in Birmingham, England. Pretty Straightforward, really. United has injuries and AFCON defections so A) I think Mount will feature. He should start. If he comes in at 60 minutes, so be it and B) I think he will have an impact on the match regardless. Dare I say he has to for United to be competitive versus a strong Villa side. 1 SoT at this price is very manageable and benevolent on behalf of the bookmakers. For all that, Mount 1+ SoT (-10) is your *Best Bet by Darkseid Sports* for the Premier League Matchweek 17.

The Darkseid Sports First Cut is a renowned play in the American football markets which denotes my top play which didn’t make the final card. It was 6-5 (ATS) pursuant to The 7 Best. It is meant to provide thought-provocation in the realm of overthinking and making wrong final judgements on your cards.

FC Record YTD: 8-5

— ⚽️: AVL 90+ (+10)

I passed on this to focus on other positions, specifically with AVL in the Race to Two Goals market.

MANCHESTER UNITED MINUTES

Bruno Fernandes had a lot to say this week.
I interpreted Bruno’s comments as the beginning of the end of the relationship between club and player.

PREMIER LEAGUE MINUTES

Get prepped for MW17 with Squawka on X.
This is just a great time of year to be a Premier League fan.

BEYOND THE TABLE

You can get the Premier League Table anywhere. It’s still superfluous at MW17. I’ll check it out next month. But a Table built on xG is something we can use for Sports Investment purposes in the now and Squawka has done solid, practical work in bringing us this PL Table built on xG.

https://www.squawka.com/en/features/xg-table-premier-league-2025-26/

FUTURISTICS REVISITED

In case you missed it (ICYMI), here is a look back on my three (3) PL Futures I released here and on my X page.
It’s tostadas at MW17. Although it is nice to have Cole Palmer back. Amad creates and has been fine for United but the AFCON absence is detrimental. Brentford has vastly exceeded any expectation anybody had. I had it wrong there, as of now.
Follow me on X. Do it now.

RANDOM PROLOGUE PICTURE

REFERENCES:

  • X
  • Various individual and entity social media accounts on X as cited in this work
  • Peacock
  • USA Network
  • NBC Sports
  • FB Ref
  • Opta Analyst
  • DataMB
  • Transfermarkt
  • Squawka
  • Grok
  • Google Gemini
  • NBC Sports Soccer
  • CBS Sports App
  • William Hill/Caesars
  • FanDuel Sportsbook
  • Getty Images
  • Darkseid Sports Intellectual Properties

DISCLAIMER: The purveyor of Darkseid Sports (me) and the author of this writing (also me) has no affiliation, whatsoever, with Manchester United, the Premier League, any of the above athletes, managers, media entities, sports betting entities, social media accounts and/or any other corporate entity, either portrayed in written form or depicted in corresponding images. The author of this writing is a passionate and very serious Manchester United and Premier League fan.

Up the Red Devils.
The *Best Bet by Darkseid Sports* is the preeminent, signature position in the global Premier League betting space. Form is temporary, class is permanent. Tough times don’t last, tough people do.
Term One *Best Bet by Darkseid Sports* statistics. It’s off to a 7-7-2 do si dos this term. GL🤜🤛Play Responsibly. Again, follow me on X.

INDUSTRY NOTE: I put considerable time and effort into this. Being the best is a process. Don’t plagiarize me, please. It’s already bad enough I’m totally excluded in the space yet have to be subjected to absolute hacks who get the run I don’t. As of this writing I have not seen any person or entity share the plays I have. So that makes me the source material. Any sharing or touting of my plays should include credit to Darkseid Sports. It’s easy. Failure to do so is an explicit proclamation of a gross lack of professional integrity on your part. I am also available to appear on your platform either via phone interview or in digitally written segment to feature my thoughts and selections, FYI.

This is an exclusive presentation by Darkseid Sports. Any rebroadcast or redistribution of this product without the express, written consent of Darkseid
Sports is sensationally prohibited.

Good Luck and Play Responsibly
This has been a digitally written presentation by Darkseid Sports. Thanks for your time, all the best and good day.

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~ Jesse Palmer
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