We go again.
LAS VEGAS — Here it is. The Premier League weekend is back and Matchweek 13 is all systems go. From the betting perspective, MW12 was another disappointment with a 1-2 ledger including another defeat on the *Best Bet by Darkseid Sports*. The BTTS Special not getting there was even more outrageous…
Anywho, moving on, I’m bullish on my chances for this weekend. Here is the deal for MW13:
THE TIMELINE
COINCEDENTAL STADIUM of the WEEK
A series depicting a stadium which corresponds to a play featured in The Premier League Prologue actions to open the show.
- Stamford Bridge, London, England
MW13 POSITIONS PL
*Best Bet by Darkseid Sports* RECORD: 4-6-2 (Record displayed in Win-Loss-Push format)
2025-26 PUBLISHED BET RECORD: 16-19-2 (All plays, W-L-P format).
- Straight Bets: 16-13-2 (53.6%)
- Parlays: 0-5 (?!?)
- Proposition (SoT, ATG, etc.): 0-1
These results are unacceptable, embarrassing and so far beneath established standards. I hate it. I couldn’t even bring myself to list the percentages. Obviously, the time is now to go on a run. I wholly reject this.
— ⚽️: “THE BTTS SPECIAL”
- EVENEW BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE (-30)
📚: William Hill/Caesars
KEY METRICS
- EVE: 1.08 GS/90 & 1.08 GLS/90.
- NEW: 1.08 GLS/90 & 1.25 GA/90.
KEY OPINION
This is a play on the fact the data and mathematics say each team will score and allow a goal in this match.
MY TAKE
The BTTS Special has seen mixed results thus far but I’m undeterred in the pursuit of delivering winners. Not sure what I’m supposed to say really re: my take on The BTTS Special: I think both parties can score a goal in its respective match.
— ⚽️: CHE +.5 (-40)
📚: Circa Sports
KEY METRICS:
- CHE: Top-of-Table in Aggregate xG (22.1), Aggregate npxG/90 (21.3), xG/90 (1.84) & npxG/90 (1.77). Chelsea is 2/20 in GLS (23) & GLS/90 (1.92). The Blues are 3/20 in Progressive Carries (248) & 5/20 in Progressive Passes (495). Lastly, CHE is T4/20 in GA/90 (0.92)
- ARS: N/A. There aren’t many significant data points in support of fading Arsenal as of this writing.
KEY OPINION
- I just think there is value in backing CHE on spread at under 50 cents when the Blues are in-form and have four days between its mid-week UCL match and this fixture here. There has to be a fly in the ointment somewhere for Arsenal, right?
MY TAKE
It’s a play on home Chelsea when it plays mighty Arsenal in the London Derby Sunday afternoon at Stamford Bridge. I know challenging the Gunners is an ask. I know ARS is the best defensive team in the world. But the Blues are pretty good too and I’ll back them here to (hopefully) catch Arsenal napping. Gunners can’t win every match, can they? Play to -50.
GL🤝Play Responsibly
— ⚽️BB: TOTFUL UNDER 2.5 GOALS (-05)
📚: William Hill/Caesars
KEY METRICS
- FUL: 19/20 in GLS/90 (0.83) & 15/20 in Aggregate xG.
- TOT: 6/20 in GA/90 (1.17) & 7/20 in GK/SV% (73.1%). Spurs are T5/20 in Clean Sheet (CS) Percentage (33.3%).
KEY OPINION
- I see this as a spot where in cold, rainy weather goals will be hard to come by from teams which are better defensively than they are offensively, at least pursuant to its PL ledger.
MY TAKE
For the *Best Bet by Darkseid Sports* for MW13, it’s a play on TOTTENHAM — FULHAM UNDER 2.5 GOALS when the clubs just At Tottenham Hotspur Stadium Saturday Night in North London. Let’s deny recency bias and look broader than the Spurs mid-week UCL trucking by PSG and the MW12 pumping by Arsenal. One would find a Spurs club which had been a rock defensively. I’ll lean on that here. Fulham just doesn’t score or create, as I’ve noted previously. This is a spot for Spurs to refocus on defensive principles and ball retention. A refocused Spurs defense and possession standard and the long-term impotency of the Cottagers leads me to believe Under. So far all that, TOTFUL UNDER 2.5 MATCH GOALS is your *Best Bet by Darkseid Sports* for the Premier League Matchweek 13.
FC Record YTD: 6-3 (66.7%)
— ⚽️: TOT 90+ (+35)
I passed on this to focus on other positions. There was reservation b/c I liked the Under better (see above).
MANCHESTER UNITED MINUTES
PREMIER LEAGUE & CHAMPIONS LEAGUE MINUTES
BEYOND THE TABLE
You can get the Premier League Table anywhere. It’s still superfluous at MW13. I’ll check it out in January. But a Table built on xG is something we can use for Sports Investment purposes in the now and Squawka has done solid, practical work in bringing us this PL Table built on xG.
https://www.squawka.com/en/features/xg-table-premier-league-2025-26/
FUTURISTICS REVISITED
Follow me on X. Do it now.
REFERENCES:
- X
- Various individual and entity social media accounts on X as cited in this work
- Peacock
- USA Network
- NBC Sports
- FB Ref
- Opta Analyst
- DataMB
- Transfermarkt
- Squawka
- Grok
- Google Gemini
- NBC Sports Soccer
- CBS Sports App
- William Hill/Caesars
- FanDuel Sportsbook
- Getty Images
- Darkseid Sports Intellectual Properties
DISCLAIMER: The purveyor of Darkseid Sports (me) and the author of this writing (also me) has no affiliation, whatsoever, with Manchester United, the Premier League, any of the above athletes, managers, media entities, sports betting entities, social media accounts and/or any other corporate entity, either portrayed in written form or depicted in corresponding images. The author of this writing is a passionate and very serious Manchester United and Premier League fan.
INDUSTRY NOTE: I put considerable time and effort into this. Being the best is a process. Don’t plagiarize me, please. It’s already bad enough I’m totally excluded in the space yet have to be subjected to absolute hacks who get the run I don’t. As of this writing I have not seen any person or entity share the plays I have. So that makes me the source material. Any sharing or touting of my plays should include credit to Darkseid Sports. It’s easy. Failure to do so is an explicit proclamation of a gross lack of professional integrity on your part. I am also available to appear on your platform either via phone interview or in digitally written segment to feature my thoughts and selections, FYI.
Sports is sensationally prohibited.
Darkseid Sports 
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