We go again.
LAS VEGAS — Here it is. The Premier League weekend is back and Matchweek 11 is all systems go. From the betting perspective, MW10 had mixed results, with an 2-2 ledger including satisfaction of the *Best Bet by Darkseid Sports*. I’m bullish on my chances for this weekend.
Here is the deal for MW11…
THE TIMELINE
COINCEDENTAL STADIUM of the WEEK
A series depicting a stadium which corresponds to a play featured in The Premier League Prologue actions to open the show.
- Villa Park. Witton, Birmingham England.
MW11 POSITIONS PL
*Best Bet by Darkseid Sports* RECORD: 4-4-2 (Record displayed in Win-Loss-Push format)
2025-26 PUBLISHED BET RECORD: 14-15-2, 45.2% w/Push, 48.3% w/out (All plays, W-L-P format)
- Straight Bets: 14-9-2
- Parlays: 0-5 (?!?)
- Proposition (SoT, ATG, etc.): 0-1
These results are unacceptable, embarrassing and so far beneath established standards. I hate it. It’s time to go on a run. I’m thinking the Feature Play success last win is a Precursor to Potency.
— ⚽️: “THE BTTS SPECIAL”
- AVLBOU BTTS (-45)
📚:William Hill/Caesars
KEY METRICS
- AVL: Ranks 5/20 in Possession/90 (54). Villa has scored 9 goals in its last 6 league matches (1.5 per).
- BOU: T3/20 in Goals For (17) & rank 5th in GLS/90 (1.70).
KEY OPINION
This is a play on the fact I felt citing line value there was a very limited number of contenders for The BTTS Special for MW11. Here we have a rejuvenated (compared to how Villa started the term) AVL side and a consistent, battle-tested BOU outfit.
MY TAKE
The BTTS Special has seen mixed results thus far but I’m undeterred in the pursuit of delivering winners. Not sure what I’m supposed to say really re: my take on The BTTS Special: I think both parties can score a goal in its respective match.
— ⚽️: MCILIV UNDER 3.5 GOALS (-50)
📚: William Hill/ Caesars
KEY METRICS:
- MCI: T2/20 in GA (8) & 3rd in aggregate xGA (9.6) & aggregate npxG/A (8.8). City is 3rd in Progressive Passes Against (274) & 6th in Progressive Carries Against (149). The Citizens are 3/20 in xGA/90 (0.96) , npxGA/90 (0.88) & 4th in GK/SV% (78.1%).
- LIV: T7/20 in GA (17) & 8th in aggregate xGA (12.4). The Reds are 8th in xGA/90 (1.24).
KEY OPINION
- I just think there is value in backing the under here when it’s a high-leverage situation and both teams are coming off mid-week UCL play.
MY TAKE
It’s a play on City and Liverpool going Under the Total of 3.5 when the Citizens host the Reds Sunday afternoon at Ethiad Stadium. I know one can play multiple numbers in the market as of this writing but I just think at 3.5 you’re on due course for a winner. The math of the history between these two clubs says the match won’t reach three goals. Play to my max recommendation price of -60, but hopefully you do t have to. Public perception/action could force incorrect price moves the other way for all we know.
GL🤝Play Responsibly
— ⚽️BB: TOTMUN UNDER 3 GOALS (-125)
📚: Circa Sports
KEY METRICS
- TOT: T2/20 on the Table in GA (8). Spurs are best-on-Table in Progressive Carries Allowed (129) & 6th in Progressive Passes Allowed (328). Tottenham Hotspur simultaneously is T3rd in GA/90 (0.80), is 2nd in GK/SV% (81.0%) & is T3rd again in CS% (40.0%).
- MUN: 0.88 Goals Per Match L50 league jousts away at Spurs.
KEY OPINION
- I see this as a spot where recency bias has led to market fallacy. The Spurs (in league play) have had stout defense. United has been much better defensively amidst settled CB rotation and the new GK’s arrival
MY TAKE
For the *Best Bet by Darkseid Sports* for MW11, it’s a play on Tottenham – Manchester United Under 3 Goals when the Spurs host the Red Devils Saturday afternoon at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in North London. I just think the market is going by the last result it saw and not accounting for the totality of the situation. In league play, Spurs have been efficient offensively and stout defensively. It’s hard to predict what you’re going to get from United. But I do know I’m tasked with a good number with 3 and I’ll accept this challenge of going under. Historically over the long term, goals have been hard to come in this portion of North London for Manchester United. So far all that, TOTMUN UNDER 3 Goals is your *Best Bet by Darkseid Sports* for the Premier League Matchweek 11.
FC Record YTD: 4-3
— ⚽️: EVE 90+ (+20)
I passed on this to focus on other positions. There was reservation b/c I could fathom this being a Draw.
MANCHESTER UNITED MINUTES
The Great Man.
Man Utd on X.
PREMIER LEAGUE MINUTES
BEYOND THE TABLE
You can get the Premier League Table anywhere. It’s still superfluous at MW11. I’ll check it out in January. But a Table built on xG is something we can use for Sports Investment purposes in the now and Squawka has done solid, practical work in bringing us this PL Table built on xG.
https://www.squawka.com/en/features/xg-table-premier-league-2025-26/
FUTURISTICS REVISITED
Follow me on X. Do it now.
REFERENCES:
- X
- Various individual and entity social media accounts on X as cited in this work
- Peacock
- USA Network
- NBC Sports
- FB Ref
- Opta Analyst
- DataMB
- Transfermarkt
- Squawka
- Grok
- Google Gemini
- NBC Sports Soccer
- CBS Sports App
- William Hill/Caesars
- FanDuel Sportsbook
- Circa Sports
- Getty Images
- Darkseid Sports Intellectual Properties
DISCLAIMER: The purveyor of Darkseid Sports (me) and the author of this writing (also me) has no affiliation, whatsoever, with Manchester United, the Premier League, any of the above athletes, managers, media entities, sports betting entities, social media accounts and/or any other corporate entity, either portrayed in written form or depicted in corresponding images. The author of this writing is a passionate and very serious Manchester United and Premier League fan.
INDUSTRY NOTE: I put considerable time and effort into this. Being the best is a process. Don’t plagiarize me, please. It’s already bad enough I’m totally excluded in the space yet have to be subjected to absolute hacks who get the run I don’t. As of this writing I have not seen any person or entity share the plays I have. So that makes me the source material. Any sharing or touting of my plays should include credit to Darkseid Sports. It’s easy. Failure to do so is an explicit proclamation of a gross lack of professional integrity on your part. I am also available to appear on your platform either via phone interview or in digitally written segment to feature my thoughts and selections, FYI.
Sports is sensationally prohibited.
Darkseid Sports 
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