We go again.
LAS VEGAS — Here it is. The Premier League weekend is back and Matchweek 10 is all systems go. From the betting perspective, MW9 was a complete disaster, with an 0-2 ledger including another miss on the *Best Bet by Darkseid Sports*. Full disclosure, I thought I was scammed out of the EVETOT BTTS (my featured play) when the Toffees had that goal disallowed. You try that in the 1990s-2000s EPL and the ref would need a security escort off the pitch. I thought it was that bad and sad. Nothing more than incidental contact on a common-set piece play. Based on this precedent, I expect a lot of disallowed goals on set-piece plays now. That’s how this works, right, Premier League? I think you get my point.
Moving on, here are my PL Positions for MW10.
THE TIMELINE
COINCEDENTAL STADIUM of the WEEK
A series depicting a stadium which corresponds to a play featured in The Premier League Prologue actions to open the show.
- Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Tottenham, London, England.
MW4 POSITIONS PL
*Best Bet by Darkseid Sports* RECORD: 3-4-2 (Record displayed in Win-Loss-Push format)
2025-26 PUBLISHED BET RECORD: 12-13-2, 44.4% w/Push, 48% w/out (All plays, W-L-P format)
- Straight Bets: 12-8-2
- Parlays: 0-5 (?!?)
These results are unacceptable, embarrassing and so far beneath established standards. I hate it.
— ⚽️: “THE BTTS SPECIAL”
- MCIBOU BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE (-40)
📚: William Hill/Caesars
KEY METRICS
- MCI: 4/20 in aggregate xG (15.6). City ranks 2/20 in aggregate npxG (15.6) & 2nd in npxG/90 (1.73). They top-the-table in Progressive Carries (239) & are 5th in Progressive Passes (374). The Citizens are 6/20 in GLS/90 (1.67).
- BOU: The Cherries rank T4/20 in GLS/90 (1.78). Bournemouth ranks T8/20 in Progressive Passes (333).
KEY OPINION
This is a play on the fact we have two quality, competent offensive sides opposing each other where I tend to argue in such cases both sides will score a goal. City has Wednesday UCL play. I’m thinking we get 60-70 minutes from the first choice players. I’m not deciphering Clean Sheets here.
MY TAKE
The BTTS Special has been un-special thus far but I’m undeterred in the pursuit of delivering a winner here. Not sure what I’m supposed to say really re: my take on The BTTS Special: I think both parties can score a goal in its respective match.
— ⚽️: BRYAN MBEUMO 2+ SHOTS ON TARGET (+280)
📚: FanDuel
KEY METRICS:
- Mbeumo: Leads Manchester United in Goals (4), Shots (23), Shots on Target (12), SoT% (52.2) & npxG (2.9)
- Mbeumo averages 2.67 SH/90. In the total of the PL term, he’s averaged 1.39 SoT/90. I think considering his form and potency lately the 1.39 will trend up again, equating to another match of 2+ SoT.
KEY OPINION
- I just think there is good value in backing Mbeumo here to register 2+ SoT when he’s in-form, the metrics support him (in-form), the eye-test (watching of the matches) supports it and you’re getting it at a robust price.
MY TAKE
It’s a play on Manchester United forward Bryan Mbeumo to register 2+ SoT when the Red Devils oppose Nottingham Forest Saturday afternoon at the City Ground. What a signing Mbeumo has been…every bit as advertised. He has the form, availability ledger and place in the club’s offensive attack system to satisfy this position. He’s scored three goals in his last two matches and it just seems like each week he is more brilliant than the last. Good value this.
— ⚽️: TOTCHE OVER 2.5 GOALS (-40)
📚: FanDuel
KEY METRICS
- TOT: 5/9 PL matches this term have achieved 3+ goals (55.6%). Spurs rank 5/20 in GLS/90 (1.78).
- CHE: 7/9 PL matches this term have achieved 3+ goals (77.8%). Blues rank 1/20 in GLS/90 (1.89). Chelsea ranks T6/20 in xG/90 (1.49) & 6/20 in npxG/90 (1.40). CHE ranks 16/20 in GK/SV% (60.7%).
KEY OPINION
I think this London Derby goes over the total here. I don’t really know what to else to say beyond citing the Key Metrics. Mind you, both TOTCHE have mid-week UCL play on-deck, but it isn’t until Tuesday and Wednesday respectively. I think that favors the over as I don’t think much squad-rotation is in-play here.
MY TAKE
It’s a play going over the total when Tottenham hosts Chelsea Saturday evening in the Derby at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. I’m backing Chelsea to have a bounce-back in league play following last week’s shock loss to Sunderland. I’m backing the metrics and form of Spurs. The TOT defense lately is concerning but not disqualifying. Both clubs have upcoming UCL play but I’m unfazed. Grab -40 or better.
GL🤝Play Responsibly
— ⚽️BB: CRY 90+ (-05)
📚: Circa Sports, William Hill/Caesars
KEY METRICS
- CRY: Top-of-table in aggregate xG (17.6), xG/90 (1.95, !) & npxG/90 (1.78). Eagles rank 7/20 in GA/90 (1.00) & are inside the top-half in GK/SV% & CS% (Clean-Sheet%).
- BRE: T12/20 in CS% (22.2%) & 14/20 in GK/SV% (62.9%). The Bees are also T14/20 in GLS/90-A (1.44) & 13/20 in xG/90-A (1.36).
KEY OPINION
- I see this as a spot where Palace can handle an (albeit ascending) opponent at home when it doesn’t have any mid-week play to compromise its man and schedule management.
MY TAKE
For the *Best Bet by Darkseid Sports* for MW10, it’s a play on Crystal Palace in 90+ minutes (M/L, 3-way). Let’s keep this simple: Palace is better than Brentford. Further, the Bees are due for a step-back. The magic carpet ride they’ve been on can’t/won’t last. Preseason, I had BRE tagged as relegationists (not a word) and had this marked as a loss. Why should I change the plan now? Right then, so, at home? Against a lesser opponent due for regression? At very fair pricing? With no mid-week play? Ok, sure. Crystal Palace in 90+ minutes is your *Best Bet by Darkseid Sports* for the Premier League Matchweek 10.
FC Record YTD: 3-3
— ⚽️: MUN DNB (-60)
I passed on this to focus on other positions. There is reservation b/c I missed out on the -60 cents offered earlier in the week. It’s now -80 to -200. I’ll pass, thanks.
MANCHESTER UNITED MINUTES
PREMIER LEAGUE MINUTES
BEYOND THE TABLE
You can get the Premier League Table anywhere. It’s still superfluous at MW10. I’ll check it out in January. But a Table built on xG is something we can use for Sports Investment purposes in the now and Squawka has done solid, practical work in bringing us this PL Table built on xG.
https://www.squawka.com/en/features/xg-table-premier-league-2025-26/
FUTURISTICS REVISITED
Follow me on X. Do it now.
REFERENCES:
- X
- Various individual and entity social media accounts on X as cited in this work
- Peacock
- USA Network
- NBC Sports
- FB Ref
- Opta Analyst
- DataMB
- Transfermarkt
- Squawka
- Grok
- Google Gemini
- NBC Sports Soccer
- CBS Sports App
- William Hill/Caesars
- FanDuel Sportsbook
- Getty Images
- Darkseid Sports Intellectual Properties
DISCLAIMER: The purveyor of Darkseid Sports (me) and the author of this writing (also me) has no affiliation, whatsoever, with Manchester United, the Premier League, any of the above athletes, managers, media entities, sports betting entities, social media accounts and/or any other corporate entity, either portrayed in written form or depicted in corresponding images. The author of this writing is a passionate and very serious Manchester United and Premier League fan.
INDUSTRY NOTE: I put considerable time and effort into this. Being the best is a process. Don’t plagiarize me, please. It’s already bad enough I’m totally excluded in the space yet have to be subjected to absolute hacks who get the run I don’t. As of this writing I have not seen any person or entity share the plays I have. So that makes me the source material. Any sharing or touting of my plays should include credit to Darkseid Sports. It’s easy. Failure to do so is an explicit proclamation of a gross lack of professional integrity on your part. I am also available to appear on your platform either via phone interview or in digitally written segment to feature my thoughts and selections, FYI.
Sports is sensationally prohibited.
UPDATE: As of 10/31/25 at 7:55 am pst I’ve already been plagiarized (again) by a well-known network in the sports betting space, touting my feature play well after its release in the absence of any credit.
This (and dodgy VAR calls lol) is what I deal with whilst I can’t get any run whatsoever.
Darkseid Sports 
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