We go again.
LAS VEGAS — Here it is. The Premier League weekend is here and Matchweek 7 is all systems go. As for the aftermath of MW6, I thought the high-drama and theatrics delivered. The big moments in CRYLIV and NEWARS were hard to beat. I thought we would get more from Nottingham Forest so many matches into Ange Postecoglou’s tenure. I thought Manchester United was dreadful at Brentford, which is being nice. Man Utd just doesn’t play well there for whatever the reason. Anywho, here we are for MW7 and hopefully I have some winners for you now. MW6 was more bad business and a continuation of MW5, with a 1-2 ledger, including a miss with Everton (spread) as the *Best Bet by Darkseid Sports* for the week. I’m demanding a rebound here.
THE TIMELINE
COINCEDENTAL STADIUM of the WEEK
A new series depicting a stadium which corresponds to a play featured in The Premier League Prologue actions to open the show.
- Old Trafford, Manchester, England
MW4 POSITIONS PL
*Best Bet by Darkseid Sports* RECORD: 3-1-2 (Record displayed in Win-Loss-Push format)
2025-26 PUBLISHED BET RECORD: 8-7-2, 47.1% w/Push, 53.3% w/out (All plays, W-L-P format)
- Straight Bets: 8-3-2
- Parlays: 0-4 (?!?)
— ⚽️: “THE BTTS SPECIAL”
- WOLBHA BTTS (-40)
📚: FanDuel
KEY METRICS
- WOL: Ranks T14/20 in Aggregate xG/A (8.5) & 17/20 in npxG-A/90 (1.41). Wolves rank 14/20 in npxG/90 (0.92).
- BHA: Ranks 4/20 in the table in Aggregate xG, (10.3), 4th in xG/90 (1.71) & 7th in npxG/90 (1.33). The Seagulls rank T14/20 in Aggregate xG/A (8.5), 15th in xG-A/90 (1.42) & 14th in npxG-A/90 (1.29).
KEY OPINION
This is a play on the poor defensive metrics of both clubs. The xG/A, npxG-A/90 numbers do not support clean sheets here. I see it like at home against a wobbly defensive side Wolves should have enough to get on the board whilst I fully expect Brighton to do the same.
MY TAKE
The BTTS Special has been very un-special thus far but I’m undeterred in the pursuit of delivering a winner here. It was nice to finally debut a W in this market in MW6. Not sure what I’m supposed to say really re: my take on The BTTS Special: I think all parties involved can score a goal in its respective match.
— ⚽️: BOU 90+ (-10)
📚: FanDuel
KEY METRICS:
- BOU: Ranks 3/20 in Aggregate xG/A (5.5). The Cherries rank 8th in Goals/90 (1.33).
- FUL: Rank 14/20 in xGD/90 (-0.22) and Aggregate xGD (-1.3).
- In the last two seasons in this competition under the current manager, BOU has a 15W 13L 10P ledger, which isn’t poor for a non-Big 6, new-to-the-mid-table club. It has earned 56 points during this time.
KEY OPINION
- I just think BOU is too stout defensively and I have a wealth of respect for manager and the project in-total for a non-Big 6 club.
MY TAKE
It’s a play on home Bournemouth to do the job and win outright insdie 90 minutes plus stoppage time when it hosts Fulham Friday night at Vitality Stadium. This is a play on the consistency of the Cherries and on its defensive ethos in-total while this also being a play against the inconsistency and the sporadic offensive lack-thereof from Fulham. Bournemouth has been very good at The Vitality over the last two seasons and I’m just not inclined to challenge that here. Play to 20 cents but also consider a dusting on the Draw (not an official play).
— ⚽️: MCI -0.5 (-50)
📚: William Hill/Caesars
KEY METRICS
- BRE: 15/20 in Progressive Carries & 19/20 in Progressive Passes. The Bees rank 16/20 in xG-A/90 (1.47) & 14/20 in GK SV% (60%).
- MCI: 1st in the table in Aggregate npxG (1.89) & npxG/90 (1.89) Ranks 2/20 in Aggregate xG (11.3) & xG/90 (1.89).
KEY OPINION
I think the three-days rest City will have post-Champions League action negates any let-down spot expectation and even if there is squad rotation from MCI it would still have enough to earn all three points vs. a suspect Bees side.
MY TAKE
It’s a play on visiting City laying a half-goal when it travels to West London to face Brentford Sunday afternoon at Gtech Stadium. I can’t get there with this being an expected let-down spot for City. Pep and his squad has too much quality and seasoning for that. So I feel like Brentford is being overvalued after a pumping of a poor Man Utd side last week and the Citizens are being undervalued citing let-down expectation and perceived attrition after Wednesday UCL play. City will have three days rest…good enough for me. Play City to -60 cents.
GL🤝Play Responsibly
— ⚽️BB: MUNSUN BTTS (-30)
📚: FanDuel
KEY METRICS
- MUN: Ranks 1/20 in the table in Aggregate xG (11.8), 3rd in Aggregate npxG (9.4), 1st in xG/90 (1.96) & 3rd in npxG/90 (1.57). The Red Devils rank 16/20 in Aggregate xG/A, 17th in xG-A/90 (1.53) & 19/20 in npxG-A/90 (1.53). Man Utd GK’s rank 18/20 in SV% (54.2%).
- SUN: GK’s rank 18/20 in Crosses Faced (cross passes into the penalty area). The Black Cats are T10/20 in Goals/90 (1.17) & 14/20 in Aggregate xG (6.1).
KEY OPINION
- I see this as a spot where Man Utd is expected to score a goal but more importantly this is a play against MUFC’s defensive metrics.
MY TAKE
For the *Best Bet by Darkseid Sports* for MW7, it’s a play on Both Teams To Score in the Manchester United – Sunderland match Saturday afternoon at The Theatre of Dreams. It’s Pretty Straightforward, really. With the backing of its potent xG numbers coupled with the fact the club is playing a newly-promoted side at home I expect the Red Devils to act like a Big 6 club and score 1+ goals, even if the weather is bad. But here’s the thing: there is no method whatsoever you or me the bettor can trust Man Utd to keep a clean sheet. It doesn’t have the midfielders, goalkeeper, depth or team defensive prowess for that sort of thing. And this is superfluous to the opponent too as Sunderland has overachieved in the Premiership thus far and absolutely has the goods to score a goal here. I would play this to a lay of 45 cents, maybe 50 if the weather isn’t so bad. MUNSUN BTTS is your *Best Bet by Darkseid Sports* for the Premier League Matchweek 7.
FC Record YTD: 2-1
— ⚽️: BHA 90+ (EV)
MANCHESTER UNITED MINUTES
PREMIER LEAGUE MINUTES
BEYOND THE TABLE
You can get the Premier League table anywhere. It’s superfluous at MW6. I might check it out in January. . But a table built on xG is something we can use for Sports Investment purposes in the now and Squawka has done solid, practical work in bringing us this PL table built on xG.
https://www.squawka.com/en/features/xg-table-premier-league-2025-26/
FUTURISTICS REVISITED
REFERENCES:
- X
- Various individual and entity social media accounts on X as cited in this work
- Peacock
- USA Network
- NBC Sports
- FB Ref
- Opta Analyst
- Transfermarkt
- Squawka
- Grok
- Google Gemini
- NBC Sports Soccer
- CBS Sports App
- William Hill/Caesars
- FanDuel Sportsbook
- Getty Images
- Darkseid Sports Intellectual Properties
DISCLAIMER: The purveyor of Darkseid Sports (me) and the author of this writing (also me) has no affiliation, whatsoever, with Manchester United, the Premier League, any of the above athletes, managers, media entities, sports betting entities, social media accounts and/or any other corporate entity, either portrayed in written form or depicted in corresponding images. The author of this writing is a passionate and very serious Manchester United and Premier League fan.
INDUSTRY NOTE: I put considerable time and effort into this. Being the best is a process. Don’t plagiarize me, please. It’s already bad enough I’m totally excluded in the space yet have to be subjected to absolute hacks who get the run I don’t. As of this writing I have not seen any person or entity share the plays I have. So that makes me the source material. Any sharing or touting of my plays should include credit to Darkseid Sports. It’s easy. Failure to do so is an explicit proclamation of a gross lack of professional integrity on your part. I am also available to appear on your platform either via phone interview or in digitally written segment to feature my thoughts and selections, FYI.
Sports is sensationally prohibited.
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