As always, Good Luck and Play Responsibly.
LAS VEGAS — Here it is. The Premier League weekend is here and Matchweek 4 is all systems go. The international break came and went last week. As for the aftermath of the summer transfer window, I think we can all safely and expressly agree — in the end — it was Liverpool with the massive gains. The remergence of new Nottingham Forest boss Ange Postecoglou is an explosive development. But here we are for MW4 and hopefully I have some winners for you now.
THE TIMELINE
COINCEDENTAL STADIUM of the WEEK
A new series depicting a stadium which corresponds to a play featured in The Premier League Prologue actions to open the show.
*Hill Dickinson Stadium, Vauxhall, North Liverpool, England
MW4 POSITIONS PL
*Best Bet by Darkseid Sports* RECORD: 3-0-0 (Record displayed in Win-Loss-Push format)
2025-26 PUBLISHED BET RECORD: 6-2-0 (All plays, W-L-P format)
- Straight Bets: 6-0
- Parlays: 0-2
— ⚽️: “THE BTTS SPECIAL” (2TM PAR +65)
- BHABOU Both Teams To Score
- MCIMUN Both Teams To Score
📚: William Hill/Caesars
KEY METRICS
- BHABOU: Seagulls rank 3rd (6.1) & Cherries rank 5th (4,5) in aggregate xG. BOU is 4th (1.50) and BHA is 6th (1.27) in npxG/90.
- MCIMUN: City is 1st in the table (1.92) in npxG/90. Man Utd ranks 3rd (1.71) in the same metric. Red Devils lead the Premier League in Progressive Carries (76). City ranks 2nd (72).
MY TAKE
The BTTS Special for MW4 brings us to two fixtures where I think we can get the minimum baseline 1-1 to satisfy this position. At the Vitality, nothing in the form of both BHABOU to this point leads me to believe both will be kept off the score sheet. At The Ethiad, I look at this like City is definitely getting on the board. So essentially it becomes a plus money play (should BOUBHA convert and my expectation of City definitely getting on the board comes to fruition) on Man Utd scoring. I am pleased to accept those odds considering the Man Utd progression/xG metrics YTD.
— ⚽️: FULLEE ⬇️2.5 (-20)
📚: Circa Sports
KEY METRICS:
- FUL: ranks 19/20 in SoT/90 and ranks 19/20 in SoT%. Cottagers rank 14th in aggregate xG.
- LEE: ranks 19/20 in npxG/90, aggregate npxG/90 and rank 20/20 in SoT/90 and SoT%.
MY TAKE
When Leeds travel to Fulham Saturday it will be a play on under 2.5 match goals for me. I think the Key Metrics denoted above explain a scenario where it’s not a high-scoring match and goals will be hard to come by. Neither are clean, robust offensive sides as these two are bottom table in Shots on Target (SoT) metrics. Try the under here at value with 20 cents and play to 25-30.
— ⚽️BB: EVE DRAW NO BET (-30)
📚: William Hill/Caesars
KEY METRICS
- EVE: T4/20 in GCA & GCA/90. 5/20 in npxG/90. 8/20 in xG/90.
- AVL: 0 GCA (Goal Creating Actions) and 0.0 GCA/90 for the current PL term in total.19/20 in xG/90.
MY TAKE
Once again, it is a play on Everton Draw No Bet as the *Best Bet by Darkseid Sports* pursuant to MW4’s The Premier League Prologue. This is a play on the continued fade of Aston Villa. There isn’t anything to go on in backing AVL. With all due, they’ve been terrible thus far and I don’t think an away at Hill Dickinson is the magic elixir at this time. The Toffees have shown form at Hill Dickinson Stadium. This is not outside its purview and I just can’t get there with Villa in any capacity until proven otherwise.
Good Luck🤜🤛Play Responsibly
— ⚽️: ARSENAL WIN TO-NIL (+10)
PREMIER LEAGUE MINUTES
BEYOND THE TABLE
You can get the Premier League table anywhere. It’s superfluous at MW4. But a table built on xG is something we can use for Sports Investment purposes and Squawka has done solid, practical work in bringing us this PL table built on xG.
https://www.squawka.com/en/features/xg-table-premier-league-2025-26/
FUTURISTICS REVISITED
REFERENCES:
- X
- Various individual and entity social media accounts on X as cited in this work
- Peacock
- USA Network
- FB Ref
- Opta Analyst
- Transfermarkt
- Squawka
- Google Gemini
- NBC Sports Soccer
- CBS Sports App
- William Hill/Caesars
- Circa Sports
- Getty Images
- Darkseid Sports Intellectual Properties
DISCLAIMER: The purveyor of Darkseid Sports (me) and the author of this writing (also me) has no affiliation, whatsoever, with Manchester United, the Premier League, any of the above athletes, managers, media entities, sports betting entities, social media accounts and/or any other corporate entity, either portrayed in written form or depicted in corresponding images. The author of this writing is a passionate and very serious Manchester United and Premier League fan.
INDUSTRY NOTE: I put considerable time and effort into this. Being the best is a process. Don’t plagiarize me, please. It’s already bad enough I’m totally excluded in the space yet have to be subjected to absolute hacks who get the run I don’t. As of this writing I have not seen any person or entity share the plays I have. So that makes me the source material. Any sharing or touting of my plays should include credit to Darkseid Sports. It’s easy. Failure to do so is an explicit proclamation of a gross lack of professional integrity on your part. I am also available to appear on your platform either via phone interview or in digitally written segment to feature my thoughts and selections, FYI.
Darkseid Sports 
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