As always, Good Luck and Play Responsibly.
LAS VEGAS — Here it is. The Premier League weekend (+ Monday) is here and Matchweek 2 is ready. I thought the football was decent enough and all the storylines from MW1 were covered properly all over the space. There’s no need to review. But here we are for MW2 and hopefully I have some winners for you now.
To reiterate, this term I am being more efficient in my delivery and won’t waste your time or mine with fluff contents focused on superfluous matters.
THE TIMELINE
MW2 POSITIONS PL
*Best Bet by Darkseid Sports* RECORD: 1-0-0 (Record displayed in Win-Loss-Push format)
2025-26 PUBLISHED BET RECORD: 1-1-0 (All plays, W-L-P format)
- Straight Bets: 1-0
- Parlays: 0-1
— ⚽️: BOURNEMOUTH 90+ (-25)
📚: William Hill/Caesars
KEY METRICS
- BOU: 1.7 npxG (Non-Penalty xG), 4.0 G+A/90 n MW1
- WOL: 0.6 xG with just 12 Progressive Carries and 23 Progressive Passes in MW1
MY TAKE
This is a play on the market having on a lower valuation than myself on The Cherries after MW1. The match is at Vitality Stadium in front of the home fans. Maybe just maybe AFCB manager Andoni Iraola runs a tight program there? The Cherries which were ferocious in its comeback at Anfield versus the league champs surely can handle this assignment. Wolverhampton is a relegation candidate as we sit here today. Wolves were domesticated comprehensively in MW1. Granted, Bournemouth isn’t Manchester City and a 4-nil score sheet is probably a whisper of a dream but in the aftermath of that pumping, I just think it’s a big ask to go to the Vitality and expect a result. I can’t get there. It’s AFCB to do the job inside 90+ minutes for me.
— ⚽️: BREAVL UNDER 2.5 (EV)
📚: William Hill/Caesars
KEY METRICS:
- BRE: 0.7 npxG (MW1). Darkseid Sports has led and guided the global Premier League betting space in touting Brentford FC as relegationists (not a word) in the Futures market this term (see below).
- AVL: 0.2 npxG & 10 Progressive Carries (MW1)
MY TAKE
It’s a play on under the total when Brentford hosts Villa Saturday in London. Aston Villa was inept in MW1. Maybe said ineptitude lasts another week? I’m calling for an ugly match…one the visitors should win. There’s still no resolution to the Yoane Wissa situation and w/out him I don’t rate The Bees offensive attack whatsoever. We’ll try the under here at value.
— ⚽️BB: FULMUN BTTS (-45)
📚: William Hill/Caesars. Offered at DraftKings (-55) & FanDuel (-58)
KEY METRICS
- FUL: 1.5 xG/A, 38 Progressive Passes Against in MW1
- MUN: 1.5 xG, 1.3 xG/A, 48 Progressive Passes in MW1. Man Utd had 31 Progressive Carries in MW1, the most by any PL club.
MY TAKE
It’s a play on Fulham – Manchester United Both Teams to Score for me as the Best Bet for MW2. I feel like at minimum we could get a the 1-1 basic score to satisfy this wager. A cornerstone theory behind this play is both teams have work to do in the aftermath of MW1. Man Utd cannot go another goalless week…like ever. It did enough to score v Arsenal last week, maybe this week the Red Devils decide to actually score. Fulham will be home at Craven Cottage and will have something to prove with the ball as its offensive output at Brighton last week was minimal in the absence of its set-piece goal just before the final whistle.
CREATOR’S NOTE: It’s Matchweek Two you guys. There simply (still) isn’t much data, digital cinema (film) or metrics to go by. I’m going on “feel” and on past data and how I think it translates into a new season with MW1 data in support.
Good Luck🤜🤛Play Responsibly
BEYOND THE TABLE
You can get the Premier League table anywhere. It’s superfluous at MW2. But a table built on xG is something we can use for Sports Investment purposes and Squawka has done solid, practical work in bringing us this PL table built on xG.
https://www.squawka.com/en/features/xg-table-premier-league-2025-26/
FUTURISTICS
REFERENCES:
- X
- Various individual and entity social media accounts on X as cited in this work
- Peacock
- FB Ref
- Opta Analyst
- Transfermarkt
- Sports Mole UK
- Squawka
- Google Gemini
- NBC Sports Soccer
- CBS Sports App
- William Hill/Caesars
- Getty Images
- Darkseid Sports Intellectual Properties
DISCLAIMER: The purveyor of Darkseid Sports (me) and the author of this writing (also me) has no affiliation, whatsoever, with Manchester United, the Premier League, any of the above athletes, managers, media entities, sports betting entities, social media accounts and/or any other corporate entity, either portrayed in written form or depicted in corresponding images. The author of this writing is a passionate and very serious Manchester United and Premier League fan.
INDUSTRY NOTE: I put considerable time and effort into this. Being the best is a process. Don’t plagiarize me, please. It’s already bad enough I’m totally excluded in the space yet have to be subjected to absolute hacks who get the run I don’t. As of this writing I have not seen any person or entity share the plays I have. So that makes me the source material. Any sharing or touting of my plays should include credit to Darkseid Sports. It’s easy. Failure to do so is an explicit proclamation of a gross lack of professional integrity on your part.
Darkseid Sports 
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