As always, Good Luck and Play Responsibly

It’s time for The 7 Best!

LAS VEGAS — 14 weeks and 98 positions into The 7 Best and we are coming off an arduous, -EV session the previous do-si-do. Last week’s results yielded a 2-5 ledger and a miss on the week’s Top Choice. There were some tough beats with Texas and the Cowboys. The 7 Best record sits at 48-50, 7-7Top Choice, season to-date. This being an arduous competition (*using Friday numbers*) where I’m mirroring myself with real action against other contestants (bettors) who are competing in a well-known competition (CFFI), on a well-known network whilst using the same scoring system, I feel like I have room to grow and can do better. It’s not what I’m accustomed to record-wise, but this is a tough competition and Friday numbers change everything. In relation to the scoring system for this project, this record equates to a total of 51.5 points (1.5 per TC win, 1 point per win, .5 per push). This stays relevant now and in the coming weeks as my departure in the competition comes when I would be the next eliminated in the CFFI. The good news is, there’s contestants , with 49.5 points, so, hopefully, barring another disaster-class, we don’t have to worry about elimination just yet. But full disclosure at this stage of the competition: a bad week and I’m toast. Clearly, I’m up against it.

Having all said, here are my 7 Best ATS/Total positions for this weekend across College Football and the National Football League.

#T7B. LFG.

— LA Bowl (Wed. 12/15, as eligible per CFFI regulations). California at UNLV (+1.5)

It’s UNLV for me Wednesday in the LA Bowl. Cal’s QB hitting the Transfer Portal makes this wager seem Pretty Straightforward.
Key hire for UNLV FB. Obviously he won’t coach the Bowl game.

— Patriots at CARDINALS (-5.5)

I feel like recency bias has kept this number manageable. It’s Arizona at home versus a lesser opponent for me Sunday.
December into January are the decision days of the National Football League.

— Colts at BRONCOS (-4)

I don’t think much of Indianapolis.
DEN at home in the afternoon window is a classic Darkseid Sports maneuver, as discussed here previously. One more time to the well…

— Bills at LIONS (-2.5)

In the signature joust of the NFL schedule, I’m backing the home Lions. With respect to Buffalo and Josh Allen, Detroit is better.
I don’t drink domestic beers normally but when I do I make sure it’s a Miller product. Classic Milwaukee.

— Buccaneers at CHARGERS (-3)

LAC is due a performance.
Can’t trust Tampa Bay in this cross-country road contest

FALCONS (-4) at Raiders

Simply, the Raiders are past it.
It’s now time for this week’s Top Choice

TOP CHOICE:

NAVY (+6) at Army – Neutral Site (Washington D.C)

I’ll take the points with Navy on Saturday.
I think the Army defense will have issues with the Navy offense. Army hasn’t seen this from Navy.
WEEKEND TEASER SPECIALS. Plays made at the point of numeric satisfaction

“The Armed Forces Deluxe”

*2TM 6.5PT TSR

NAVY +13 — ARMY/NAVY OVER 32.5

The Army/Navy game is a stalwart classic in the Sports Fashion genre.

“The Primetime Connection Play”

*2TM 6PT TSR*

SEAHAWKS +8.5 — VIKINGS -1

I think Green Bay can/will win a close game. +8.5 is good point value and I think SEA can parachute inside this number Sunday night.
The Vikings to -1 seems pretty straightforward. At home against a lesser opponent? I’m down.
The points mean more in my hands.

CFB/NFL TV MAPS

The Best League There Is

PREMIER LEAGUE PROLOGUE

MW16 fixtures with American TV/Streaming listings. Premier League Mornings are perfect.

PL PRIMER

The Manchester Derby takes center stage in MW16
Aside from the Red Devils FA Cup win last spring, City has had United’s number in Premier League Play.

PL STATBUSTERS

Salah has been class.
Big yikes.
Where did it go wrong with Ange and Spurs? I’m flummoxed.

KIT MATCHUP OF THE WEEK

Right then, down to business. The MW16 KMOTW brings us to Ethiad Stadium in the deluxe fixture for the weekend as City plays host to United. MCI will be in its classic home powder blues. MUN will be sporting its traditional (home) reds. This match always makes for a fine kit watch and you absolutely have to select it as the the PL KMOTW.

MW16 POSITIONS PL

The Best League in the World

BEST BET RECORD: 10-4-1 (10W 4L 1P), 66.7% (including Pushes), 71.4% (excluding Pushes), +EV.

2024-25 EPL Published, Personal Bet Record: 26-20-4 (26W 20L 4P), 52% (including Pushes), 56.5% (excluding Pushes), +EV

And now the plays for MW16. Good Luck and Play Responsibly.

ARSENAL -1.5 (-40)

Can’t get there with EVE. Maybe the Toffees get a set-piece goal to get the money but it’s time for the Gunners to get serious about this PL title chase. It’s ARS Saturday in North London
Big yikes.

LIVERPOOL/FULHAM UNDER 3.5 (-40)

The first 3 goals could come easy. But the 4th one…don’t hold your breath.
All my projected scores fall below four goals.

MANCHESTER UNITED DOUBLE CHANCE — MAN UTD OR DRAW — (+30)

Bettor’s Note: IF the spread (Man Utd +.5) provides better value than the Double Chance, play that instead of the DC
MCI is down bad and hasn’t been this vulnerable under Pep. If not now, when for Man Utd?
The BB for MW16…

WOLVES/IPSWICH BTTS — Both Teams to Score — (-45)

Wolves get on the score sheet Saturday
Tractor Boys get on the score sheet Saturday.

REFERENCES

  • X
  • Various individual and entity social media accounts on X as cited in this work
  • Grok 2
  • Pro Football Reference
  • NFL Pro
  • Team Rankings
  • Covers
  • CFB Reference
  • FB Ref
  • Sports Mole UK
  • ESPN (web)
  • CBS Sports App
  • PFF
  • Circa Sports
  • William Hill
  • Riddell Sports
  • Schutt Sports
  • Getty Images
  • Darkseid Sports Intelligence
  • Darkseid Sports Intellectual Properties

CREATOR’S NOTE: This week’s 7 Best used odds from Circa Sports and William Hill on the day of publish (today). In the opinion of this author, Circa Sports serves as the premier destination in the brick-and-mortar Sportsbook genre in American Gaming and is a certain travel destination for those who visit the great city of Las Vegas. William Hill has the best overall betting menu and is the undisputed champion of soccer betting in the LV market. To be transparent with you, I don’t play at Circa because I’m not welcome, or at minimum not (action and person-wise) wanted. I’ve stopped playing on account at WH as, in my opinion, risk communicates with media entities on what I’m doing, which I find funny because that app doesn’t represent all my action.

CREATOR’S NOTE: Darkseid Sports has no affiliation, whatsoever, with the NCAA and/or any of the programs, athletes, social media accounts, universities, football programs or corporate entities written about or depicted in this writing. The author of this writing is an ardent and serious College Football and Miami Hurricanes fan since the Jimmy Johnson regime.

What’s gonna happen when Mario Cristobal has to match wits with Bill Belichick?

Creator’s Note: The purveyor of Darkseid Sports has no affiliation, whatsoever, with Manchester United, the Premier League, any of the above athletes, managers, media entities, social media accounts and/or any other corporate entity, either portrayed in written form or depicted in corresponding images. The author of this writing is a passionate and very serious Manchester United and Premier League fan.

Random Bruno Fernandes appreciation picture via Getty Images

CREATOR’S NOTE: The purveyor of Darkseid Sports has no affiliation, whatsoever, with the National Football League, the Green Bay Packers, its players, social media presence and/or corporate entities associated with the team(s) either in written form or depicted in corresponding images. There is no association with any other person, social media account, media entity, corporate entity, etc. The author of this writing is a third-generation Packers fan, a former credentialed-media member covering the franchise, an amateur historian focused on the franchise and is +EV career betting the franchise lifetime. He is a passionate and very serious Packers and National Football League fan. His next game at Lambeau Field will be his 56th.

#GoPackGo
Thanks for your time and head space in consuming this, The 7 Best, content.
Learn to like it. Learn to love it.

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